Tuesday, February 7, 2023
Ukraine Choosing Freedom
Tuesday, September 6, 2022
Cyber-criminals as Modern State Sponsored Pirates
Wednesday, August 3, 2022
Ukraine President Address to the Australian National University
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| Audience in ANU Hall (still image from ANU TV) |
Ukraine have run an impressive Information Warfare campaign, with subtility, and occasional humor. This is a capability Australia needs to build as part of its defence rethink.. I will be speaking on "Designing for scale: How to use mobile devices to recruit, train and equip the extra 18,500 defence personnel", at the Mobile Learning Special Interest Group meeting of the Australasian Society for Computers in Learning in Tertiary Education (ASCILITE), 10 am, Friday, August 26, 2022.
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| President Zelenskyy speaking to ANU (still image from ANU TV) |
Saturday, July 30, 2022
Ukraine President to Address ANU Online Wednesday, All Welcome
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy, President of Ukraine |
ps: Volodymyr Zelenskyy's comedy TV series "Servant Of The People" is available from SBS On Demand. ;-)
Tuesday, July 26, 2022
Drones and Global Order
Lieutenant Colonel Paul Lushenko, U.S. Army and Cornell University, mentioned that drones can be used to breech and protect national sovereignty. He nominated the General Atomics Reaper drone as the preeminent system. I suggest it is worth pointing out that the usefulness of this aircraft is reflected in its general design being widely copied by both allies and enemies.
Cecilia Jacob, Associate Professor, ANU International Relations, pointed out the dilemma that drones have been useful in response to conflicts short of war. However, the low cost of drones, and low risk for operators, may make war more likely. A positive point mentioned was using a drone to capture evidence for war crimes trials.
Emeritus Professor William Maley, ANU Diplomacy, reminded the audience that drones are not new, with the German V-1, being mass produced in 1944. As the Professor points out, the V-1 was not accurate enough, and the war did not continue long enough for its significance to be appreciated. Drones could be used for surveillance, material delivery, conventional military attack, attack on terrorist leadership, and drone swarms. On the last point I coached a team of Australian Navy, government and industry people working on swarm defence. Media reports suggest Ukraine used drones to distract the defenders of a Russian warship.
Professor Maley commented that "Most people think of drones for delivering pizza, not bombs". This made me wonder what will be the effect of low cost mass-produced drones. Will this be like the effect smart anti-tank weapons have had in the Ukraine? What if both sides are supplied with thousands of small, disposable armed drones, which can loiter over a battlefield? I suggest a drone packaged in a disposable larch tube similar in size and operation to an anti-tank missile would prove a popular product. This would be larger than the AeroVironment Switchblade, with a battery motor for loitering, and a rocket motor for attack.
Wednesday, March 30, 2022
Ukraine Destroyed the Myth of Russian Invincibility Says Ambassador Designate to Australia
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| Mr Myroshnychenko, speaking in the ANU Moot Court. Photo by Tom Worthington, CC-BY 30 March 2022 |
Mr Myroshnychenko referred to the use of talk shows by Russia, which manipulate emotions, modeled on those popularized in the USA. He then looked ahead to how difficult it will be to reeducate the people influenced by Russian messages. He pointed out how difficult this was, with people in Germany after WWII. But perhaps a better analogy today would be with those convinced by QAnon conspiracy theories.
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| Information Warfare Division, Australian Department of Defence |
In the Q&A I asked if Australian could learn from the information warfare situation in Europe. Mr Myroshnychenko replied that Australia could play a useful role countering Russian propaganda in the Pacific. Also Dr Robert Horvath, La Trobe University, suggested Australia could learn from Estonia's experience countering cyber attacks.
Monday, March 28, 2022
European Ambassadors Discuss Russia in Ukraine in Canberra
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Chancellor Bishop opening the Russia's Invasion of Ukraine Colloquium |
The colloquium is an example of one of the uses of a research university. Whatever the topic, you can likely find an expert on it at a major university. This event has the ambassadors today, and the the ANU's strategic experts give their views Wednesday.
In his response Mr Kyle Wilson, Visiting Fellow, ANU Centre for European Studies, suggested that the conflict started with a cyber attack on Estonia in 2007.
"Day 1: A diplomatic perspective from Europe
Panel 1: Collective responses to shared challenges
- H.E. Dr Michael Pulch, Ambassador of the European Union
- H.E. Mr Michał Kołodziejski, Ambassador of the Republic of Poland
- H.E. Ms Satu Mattila-Budich, Ambassador of the Republic of Finland
- H.E. Ms Kersti Eesmaa, Ambassador of the Republic of Estonia
Panel 2: The future of Europe’s security architecture
- H.E. Mr Jean-Pierre Thébault, Ambassador of the French Republic
- H.E. Ms Pernille Dahler Kardel, Ambassador of the Kingdom of Denmark
- H.E. Dr Thomas Fitschen, Ambassador of the Federal Republic of Germany
- H.E. Ms Betty Bernardica Pavelich, Ambassador of the Republic of Croatia
Day 2: Liberal democracies and threats to the rules-based international order
Date and time: 30 March, 9.30am-4.30pm
Australia’s leading authorities on Eastern Europe will examine Russia’s invasion of Ukraine from political, strategic, historical and cultural angles, and will reflect on the possible threat the conflict poses to the rules-based international order.
The speakers include Dr Robert Horvath (La Trobe University), Prof Paul Dibb (ANU), A/Prof William Partlett (The University of Melbourne), Dr Stephen Fortescue (UNSW), Mr Petr Kuzmin (President of Svoboda Alliance VIC), Mr Bertil Wenger (Konrad Adenauer Stiftung), Dr Matthew Sussex (Australian Defence College), Dr Sonia Mycak (ANU), Dr Elena Govor (ANU).
See the program and speakers here."






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